House Speaker Johnson Unveils Third FISA 702 Extension Plan After Two Failed Floor Votes

Analysis
Johnson's third draft trades the warrant requirement, the provision that sank both prior floor votes, for abuse penalties as the concession to privacy-minded Republicans, leaving IC collection authorities intact. House passage before the April 30 expiration is likely, grounded in the statutory deadline forcing function and Congress's unbroken record of preventing permanent 702 lapses. Perry's on-record "not there yet" and civil liberties groups' characterization of the provisions as minimal sharpen the holdout picture beyond prior reporting's general reference to hardliner demands, but neither signals a critical mass of defections. The three-year extension length pushes the next reauthorization fight to 2029, past the current administration's first-term horizon, a timeline trade that locks in votes from members reluctant to revisit the debate before midterms. Johnson may instead be leveraging the April 30 deadline to extract concessions for another short-term patch, avoiding a third floor defeat that would further erode his speakership.