European Security — 2026-07-13

37-Nation Coalition of Willing Convenes in Paris to Discuss 70 Billion Euro Ukraine Aid Package and Air Defense Cooperation

BLUFParis consolidates prior G7 and NATO pledges into coalition optics, but a finalized deployment framework for the multinational reassurance force by August 15 remains very unlikely absent a ceasefire trigger.

More than 25 heads of state or government are set to meet in Paris on Monday for a Coalition of the Willing summit at the Hôtel national des Invalides, with Moldova and North Macedonia joining for the first time as the coalition expands to 37 nations 123. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected in Paris both Monday and Tuesday 13. The meeting follows commitments made at the G7 summit in Évian and the NATO summit in Ankara, where allies pledged 70 billion euros in military aid to Ukraine for 2026 134. According to a Macron adviser cited by Euronews, discussion topics include air defense cooperation, US plans for licensed Patriot missile production in Ukraine, and creation of an anti-ballistic missile system, alongside security guarantee plans involving a multinational force stationed away from the front line that the French presidency describes as "ready" but "subject to change" 134. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is confirmed to attend 5.

Analysis
Coalition messaging targets Russian expectations of Western fatigue rather than delivering new capability; the 70 billion euro figure and Patriot licensing plan restate G7/NATO commitments already made in Évian and Ankara. Whether the multinational reassurance force moves from "ready but subject to change" to a finalized deployment framework by August 15 is very unlikely, since no ceasefire precondition exists to trigger deployment planning. Confidence in this judgment is high, reflecting consistent French presidential messaging across multiple summits that the force remains contingent and no observable mobilization of framework nations toward binding commitments.

5 sources