Global Economic Fallout — 2026-03-31

US Gasoline Prices Top $4 Per Gallon for First Time Since 2022

US average gasoline prices crossed $4.02 per gallon on March 31, up from $2.98 on February 26 before the war began, marking the highest level since 2022. California averaged $5.87/gallon. AAA data shows prices rose a full dollar in one month. Oil executives and analysts warn the Strait of Hormuz must reopen by mid-April or supply disruptions will get worse. The milestone adds direct consumer pressure as Trump simultaneously refused to escort allied tankers and told fuel-starved nations to buy American or seize Hormuz oil themselves.

Analysis
The $1/gallon increase in 33 days (from $2.98 to $4.02) is the fastest sustained rise since the 1979 oil crisis. California at $5.87 is approaching the 2022 record. The mid-April warning from oil executives aligns with the April 6 energy strike pause deadline Trump set. If no deal materializes and strikes resume, analysts project $5+ national averages by May, entering politically dangerous territory ahead of midterm positioning.
3 sources
  1. US gasoline prices top $4, highest since 2022 - Invezz
  2. U.S. gasoline hits $4 per gallon, highest since 2022, as Iran war drives up fuel prices - CNBC
  3. US average gas price hits $4 a gallon amid Iran war - Axios

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