Americas — 2026-05-10

Cuba Humanitarian Crisis Deepens as US Oil Blockade Causes 30-Hour Power Outages

The Trump administration's oil blockade, imposed in late January, has driven power outages to 15 hours or more per day in parts of Havana and pushed black-market petrol prices from roughly $1 per litre to $10, Al Jazeera reported on May 9. UN human rights experts on May 7 called on Washington to end what they termed Cuba's "energy starvation," citing severe human rights impacts. Cuba's first deputy minister of energy and mines, Argelio Abad, acknowledged at a March 20 press conference that private-sector fuel imports, authorized by Havana in February and subsequently cleared by the US Bureau of Industry and Security, remain "minimal." Al Jazeera, citing Reuters, put those imports at roughly 30,000 barrels over February and March, against a daily national requirement of approximately 100,000 barrels estimated by University of Texas Energy Institute researcher Jorge Piñon.

Analysis
The private-sector fuel authorization both governments promoted as a humanitarian valve functions as a rounding error: 30,000 barrels imported across February and March, a Reuters figure cited by Al Jazeera, covers less than one-third of Cuba's single-day national requirement of roughly 100,000 barrels, and domestic production meets only 40 percent of demand. That structural deficit drives the rolling 15-plus-hour blackouts documented in Havana. A nationwide grid collapse by 9 July 2026 carries a roughly even chance, contingent on Havana retaining command of its rationed state fuel and some diplomatic channel with Washington staying open. Havana may also be deliberately amplifying the private-sector crisis to extract concessions while using the emergency to impose state-capital structures it could not otherwise justify.
2 sources
  1. Cuba is left reeling in the aftermath of the Venezuela strike - CNN
  2. A year of resistance: Cuba private sector faces Trump oil blockade - Al Jazeera

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