Soufan Center Assesses Iran's Missile Arsenal Remains Potent Despite Five Weeks of Strikes, Hormuz Control Trumps Weapons

The Soufan Center published an intelligence brief assessing that roughly half of Iran's missile launchers remain intact and thousands of one-way attack drones remain in the arsenal after five weeks of intensive US-Israeli strikes. Iran continues launching 15-30 ballistic missiles and 50-100 drones daily, deliberately maintaining low launch rates to preserve inventory while employing mobile platforms and hardened underground facilities. The brief assessed that Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz, achieved through naval tactics rather than missiles, represents Iran's most significant strategic gain in the war, providing greater leverage than its weapons inventory.