Iran Conflict — 2026-03-26
Iran War Disrupts Fertilizer Supply as US Farmers Face Planting Season Shortfall
Hormuz closure has bottled up nearly 50% of global urea exports, triggering a 25-30% fertilizer price spike just as US corn planting begins.
Analysis
The fertilizer shortage creates a second-order political vulnerability that connects this story to the EPA ethanol waiver in the DHS category. The shift from corn to soybeans would reduce US ethanol feedstock, partially undermining the E15 waiver policy.
The fertilizer shortage creates a second-order political vulnerability that connects this story to the EPA ethanol waiver in the DHS category. The shift from corn to soybeans would reduce US ethanol feedstock, partially undermining the E15 waiver policy.