Estonian Intelligence Assesses Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes Are Measurably Degrading Russian Economy and Crimea Logistics

A weekly review by the Estonian Defense Forces intelligence center reported that Ukrainian long-range strikes are measurably damaging Russia's economy and Crimea's supply lines 1. Direct losses from drone strikes on Wildberries warehouses in Moscow, Tambov, Krasnodar and Stavropol regions over the past week could reach $2 billion, and the platform's 2025 sales volume equaled roughly 3 percent of Russian GDP 123. Russia's Central Bank business-climate index fell to -3.6 points in July, the lowest reading since mid-2022 12. On Crimea, the intelligence center reported that overland vehicle traffic to the peninsula dropped 70 percent in June, drone commander Robert Brovdi stated that strikes have cut Kerch ferry crossing capacity by 75 percent, and more than 100 energy facilities struck since early July have left over half the population facing extended power outages, with occupation authorities acknowledging they cannot maintain fuel supplies or set blackout schedules 12.