Iran Conflict — 2026-03-18

Iran Expands Retaliatory Strikes Across Gulf States and US-Allied Positions

Iran expanded retaliatory strikes beyond Israel to target Gulf state infrastructure and US-allied positions following the Larijani and Soleimani assassinations. Tehran maintained pressure across multiple fronts despite CENTCOM claims its ballistic missile capacity has been reduced by 90%. The broadened target set signals Iran's intent to impose costs on Gulf states hosting US forces.

Analysis
Prior digest tracked UAE engaging 10 ballistic missiles March 17, Fujairah oil fire, and Dubai airport closure. Iran's expanded Gulf targeting follows an escalation pattern: March 16 saw first successful strike on energy infrastructure outside Iran (Fujairah). Each cycle broadens the target set.