Middle East — 2026-07-02
Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf Warns US Iran Is Ready for War if Memorandum Terms Not Honored
BLUFGhalibaf's war-readiness rhetoric functions as negotiating leverage within a framework both sides profit from, making direct armed hostilities unlikely before September 1, 2026.
Iranian Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said on state television Tuesday that Iran will not resume talks with the United States until the memorandum of understanding is implemented, and that Iran is "ready for war" if Washington fails to honor the agreement 12. Ghalibaf said dialogue continues through Pakistan and Qatar pending activation of Article 13, and that Iran will not proceed to further implementation stages until five core provisions are fully consolidated: ending the war, restoring Lebanese sovereignty, lifting the naval blockade, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and releasing frozen assets 3. He said Iran has exported more than 40 million barrels of oil since the blockade ended, versus none in the prior 50 to 60 days, and that free navigation through Hormuz is guaranteed for only 60 days under the memorandum 124. Qatar's foreign ministry said separately Tuesday that none of the $6 billion in frozen Iranian funds cited by Iran's president has yet been transferred 2.
AnalysisGhalibaf's ultimatum ties further memorandum implementation, including blockade relief, Hormuz guarantees, and asset releases, to five preconditions Tehran alone interprets, positioning Iran to stall or escalate at will. Direct armed hostilities between Iran and the United States or Israel are
unlikely to resume before September 1, 2026. Both sides keep extracting concrete gains from the current arrangement: oil exports and mediated leverage for Tehran, diplomatic momentum for Washington, that a renewed war would forfeit. That judgment carries high confidence, reflecting converging signals across state media, Qatari officials, and Hormuz shipping data that point toward continued phased implementation rather than rupture. Qatar's denial that frozen funds have moved marks a friction point that could still narrow that window.
4 sources
- Iran warns it is ready for war if US fails to honour agreement - Middle East Monitor
- Iran's top negotiator says country ready for war as peace talks inch along - CBS News
- Strait of Hormuz Iran's greatest source of leverage; no retreat on sovereign rights: Parl. speaker - Press TV
- Iran warns it is ready for war if US fails to honour agreement - On A Quiet Day
View in full brief →