Iran Conflict — 2026-03-23

Netanyahu Frustrated as Mossad Promises of Iranian Popular Uprising Fall Short

Israeli PM Netanyahu is reportedly frustrated that Mossad's pre-war intelligence assessment — predicting widespread Iranian popular uprising in response to targeted strikes — has not materialized. Three weeks into the campaign, no significant anti-regime protests have emerged despite massive infrastructure damage. The intelligence failure echoes pre-Iraq War assumptions about regime collapse. Separately, South Korea's foreign minister requested Iran ensure safety of vessels inside the Strait of Hormuz, and Japan said it is 'not thinking about' discussing Hormuz passage directly with Tehran.

2 sources
  1. Netanyahu said frustrated that Mossad promises of Iran uprising have fallen short - Times of Israel
  2. South Korea foreign minister requests Iran to ensure safety of vessels inside Strait of Hormuz - Middle East Eye

View in full brief →

UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE