Iran Conflict — 2026-03-17
Brent Crude Tops $103 as Hormuz Coalition Doubts Grow; Oil Up ~50% Since War Began
Brent crude gained 3.2% to $103.42/barrel as doubts grew over any Hormuz escort coalition materializing. Prices have surged ~50% since February 28, with 150 freight ships stalled in and around Hormuz. Ship movements through the strait have plunged to near-zero for Western-flagged vessels. Japan began releasing strategic oil reserves; IEA previously released 400M barrels but the effect has been transient.
Analysis
Oil price tracking: $68/bbl pre-war (Feb 27) -> $100 (Mar 12) -> $103 (Mar 16) -> $103.42 today. The 50%+ increase since Feb 28 reflects sustained Hormuz disruption with 150 vessels stalled.
Oil price tracking: $68/bbl pre-war (Feb 27) -> $100 (Mar 12) -> $103 (Mar 16) -> $103.42 today. The 50%+ increase since Feb 28 reflects sustained Hormuz disruption with 150 vessels stalled.