Middle East — 2026-07-18

Iraq Signs 48 Deals Worth Over 60 Billion With US Companies Including Kirkuk-Baniyas Pipeline to Bypass Strait of Hormuz

BLUFFriday's $60 billion in signings are statements of intent, not construction milestones; first oil through the Kirkuk-Baniyas corridor is unlikely within 12 months, leaving Iraq's exports bound to Hormuz.

Iraq and the United States signed 48 agreements, memoranda of understanding and partnership declarations between public and private entities during Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi's Washington visit, covering the oil and electricity ministries alongside ExxonMobil, KBR, GE Vernova, Shell and Halliburton, plus a Starlink deal to launch service in Iraq 123. The Iraqi leader's media office and Reuters put the combined value of the initial agreements, spanning energy, healthcare and technology, at more than $60 billion 14. Iraq and Syria separately signed a US-backed agreement to rehabilitate the Kirkuk-Baniyas crude pipeline, with the State Department saying a US-led consortium will handle technical and financial execution and citing an initial capacity of two million barrels per day 14; Chevron said it will carry out the project alongside TI Capital and Qatar's UCC Holding, and separately signed two additional agreements on Iraqi oil production 45. The National reported ConocoPhillips agreed to acquire a 42 percent stake in BP Energy Company of Kirkuk Limited covering four northern Iraqi oilfields 5, while AP reported West Texas crude rose nearly 5 percent to $88 a barrel that Friday 46.

Analysis
The agreements formalize intent but do not shorten construction timelines that keep Hormuz as Iraq's binding export constraint. First oil flow through the rehabilitated Kirkuk-Baniyas line, even partial, is unlikely within the next 12 months. Comparable regional pipeline builds take a minimum of two and a half years, and the corridor crosses Anbar and eastern Syrian territory where security control remains incomplete. This judgment carries high confidence, reflecting convergent independent estimates of pipeline construction timelines and unresolved security conditions along the proposed route. Iraq's oil exports will remain tied to Hormuz throughput through mid-2027 regardless of Friday's signings.
6 sources
  1. Iraq signs 48 deals with US companies during PM visit to Washington - Al Jazeera
  2. Iraq, US sign 48 agreements during PM's visit - AFP
  3. Iraq, US sign 48 agreements during PM's visit - Arab News (AFP)
  4. US oil firms sign deals with Iraq to develop alternative shipping routes - Associated Press
  5. Iraq and Syria agree to revive defunct crude oil pipeline - The National
  6. US oil firms sign deals with Iraq to develop alternative shipping routes - Associated Press

View in full brief →

UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE