Iran Conflict — 2026-04-05
Iran Exempts Iraqi Shipping From Strait of Hormuz Blockade, Potentially Releasing 3M Barrels Daily
Iran's military command declared Iraqi shipping exempt from
Analysis
Iran is using selective Hormuz access as a coercive diplomacy tool, rewarding neutrality and punishing adversaries. If Iraqi oil flows resume, it relieves approximately 15% of the global supply deficit while demonstrating that Iran controls who benefits from the strait. This fractures the unified pressure campaign by offering countries an incentive to distance from the US coalition.
Iran is using selective Hormuz access as a coercive diplomacy tool, rewarding neutrality and punishing adversaries. If Iraqi oil flows resume, it relieves approximately 15% of the global supply deficit while demonstrating that Iran controls who benefits from the strait. This fractures the unified pressure campaign by offering countries an incentive to distance from the US coalition.