Iran Conflict — 2026-03-18

Janes: Iranian Ballistic Missile Attacks on UAE Show No Degradation in Launch Rate

The UAE Ministry of Defence confirmed engagement of 10 additional Iranian ballistic missiles on March 17, indicating no apparent reduction in launch rate since Day 3. Over 1,000 weapons (812 UAVs, 186 ballistic missiles, 8 cruise missiles) have been launched at the UAE alone since the war began. This directly challenges the coalition narrative that Iranian strike capacity has been significantly degraded.

Analysis
CENTCOM claimed 90% reduction in Iranian ballistic missile capacity. Janes data contradicts this -- the launch rate against the UAE alone shows no degradation. The prior digest noted Janes assessed both Iranian navies effectively destroyed (60+ vessels). Iran's ground-based missile force appears less vulnerable than naval assets.

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