Taiwan postpones presidential trip to Eswatini after Seychelles, Mauritius, and Madagascar revoke overflight clearance

Analysis
The near-simultaneous withdrawal by three states that collectively carry heavy Chinese debt-relief exposure almost certainly reflects coordinated PRC coercion rather than coincidence, corroborated across four outlets with an on-record Seychelles Foreign Ministry statement to Reuters, and marks a qualitative escalation from pressure on Taiwan's bilateral relationships to interference with sovereign presidential air mobility. That precedent very likely generates parallel pressure on overflight rights for Taiwan's future presidential travel, including any planned visit to remaining Latin American allies. Taipei's choice to postpone rather than cancel signals an expected workaround route, but the strategic cost is the loss of unfettered presidential mobility. No PRC action has more consequentially constrained Taiwan's diplomatic space since the Honduras flip in 2023.