Netanyahu and Trump Conclude White House Meeting on Iran Nuclear Threat as Iranian Missiles Strike US Forces in Jordan

Analysis
Trump's on-camera pledge to hit back "hard" commits Washington to retaliation rather than absorbing the failed strike as a one-off provocation, and the US very likely will hit Iranian or IRGC-linked targets within seven days, by August 4. Simultaneous IRGC action against Jordan's Muwaffaq Salti base, a CENTCOM facility, and three Hormuz tankers signals a multi-front test rather than a contained gesture, raising the bar for a response that restores deterrence across all three theaters; confidence is high given CENTCOM's own naming of the attack and independent corroboration of the Jordan and tanker strikes. The barrage more plausibly answers same-day US-Saudi strikes on Iran-aligned Iraqi militias than the Netanyahu meeting, continuing an existing escalation track rather than opening a new one. A US strike within the window ends the post-Epic Fury pause on offensive action and forces CENTCOM to harden Jordan and Gulf basing immediately; absent one, regional force posture continues on the assumption of restraint.