Taiwan's NSB Probes Suspected Chinese Cyberattacks on DPP Taipei Mayoral Candidate's Campaign Server

Analysis
Moderate confidence rests on the NSB deputy director-general's on-record statement that a joint investigation could lead to charges, though no technical attribution or named suspects exist yet. Every report traces to the Shen campaign's own account or that single NSB remark, so nothing independent corroborates a China link. The NSB has moved from silence to confirming a joint probe. A back-door intrusion followed by a 70,000-request authentication flood from foreign IPs suggests a deliberate effort to disrupt the campaign's event platform before the November 28 vote. Taiwanese authorities will likely publicly attribute the cyberattack on Puma Shen's campaign to China-linked actors, or open a formal criminal case naming it, by November 30. Criminal botnets or non-state nationalist hackers could equally explain the traffic, and the campaign has an incentive to frame it as foreign interference. Forensic attribution often lags, and prosecutors may withhold detail while a case is open. Attribution or a named case would push the NSB, the Investigation Bureau and rival campaigns to escalate election-security measures and public warnings, whereas silence would leave candidates relying on their own defenses.