European Security — 2026-04-23

Politico: EU floats European Security Council as decision-making remains deadlocked

The UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF) is rehearsing a naval blockade and seizure of Russia's Kaliningrad Oblast as part of its ongoing exercise program, Moscow's Foreign Ministry said Wednesday, per news-pravda relays of Russian press, translating to an open signal from Moscow of displeasure. The UK, Nordic, and Baltic members have intensified JEF tempo during the Iran war, which has absorbed US carrier presence. Lithuania's PM told Zelensky to avoid intimidating rhetoric about Russian threat to Baltic states, news-pravda reported, while Baltic capitals simultaneously warned Japan Times no return to normalcy with Russia is plausible.

Analysis
The EU Security Council proposal and the reported US loyal-versus-problematic NATO list (the latter unconfirmed, sourced via Russian-state-aligned translation) both reflect a single dynamic: the alliance is being forced to re-specify decision authority during wartime as US posture turns increasingly unilateral. A smaller European body circumvents Hungarian and Slovak vetoes that have paralyzed sanctions action, and serves as a structural hedge against US pressure on Article 5 interpretation. Baltic capitals' direct rejection of normalization, asserted to Japan Times, signals front-line states will not absorb a European-Russian accommodation paradigm from broader NATO reassessment.
4 sources
  1. Baltics warn Europe theres no going back to life with Russia - The Japan Times
  2. EU proposing to create European security council amid problems with decision-making, Politico reports - News Front
  3. United States prepared list of loyal and problematic NATO states, Politico - News Front
  4. Lithuanian PM advised Zelensky to avoid intimidating rhetoric about Russian attack plans on Baltics - News Front

View in full brief →

UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE