Iran War & Ceasefire — 2026-04-09
Strait of Hormuz Remains Closed as Iran Reverses Opening After Lebanon Strikes
Iran re-closed the
Analysis
The re-closure effectively nullified the ceasefire's primary deliverable for global markets. With oil prices still 40%+ above pre-war levels despite the initial ceasefire-driven plunge, the economic pressure on both sides is asymmetric: the US and allies need Hormuz open for energy stability, while Iran uses closure as its most effectivenon-kinetic escalation tool.
The re-closure effectively nullified the ceasefire's primary deliverable for global markets. With oil prices still 40%+ above pre-war levels despite the initial ceasefire-driven plunge, the economic pressure on both sides is asymmetric: the US and allies need Hormuz open for energy stability, while Iran uses closure as its most effective