Military — 2026-06-02

Ukraine Claims Capability to Strike All Russian Military Logistics in Occupied Territories With 15 Refineries Hit

BLUFFuel rationing spreading from Crimea into Moscow's administrative zone suggests Ukraine's refinery campaign is imposing structural logistics costs that export controls alone cannot offset.

Zelensky stated on June 1 that Ukrainian forces can now strike Russian military logistics across "virtually the entire depth" of occupied territory, citing Third Army Corps UAV control over key supply nodes in occupied Luhansk Oblast, including Luhansk city and Alchevsk, established on May 31 123. In the same address, Zelensky stated Ukraine struck 15 Russian oil refineries between January and May and claimed nearly 40% of Russia's primary refining capacity is offline as of that month 12. Fuel rationing has spread from occupied Crimea to Moscow's expanded administrative zone, where gasoline is capped at 60 liters and diesel at 100 liters per customer until further notice, Ukrainska Pravda reported citing Moscow Times and Interfax 4. Russia has banned aviation fuel exports through November 30 and is considering a diesel ban 12.

Analysis
Fuel rationing spreading from occupied Crimea into Moscow's expanded administrative zone signals Ukraine's energy attrition campaign is degrading supply chains at a scale Moscow can no longer localize to occupation zones. Third Army Corps UAV interdiction across Luhansk city and Alchevsk, established May 31, operationalizes the declared logistical reach, linking route interdiction directly to the longer-running refinery strike campaign. Moscow's aviation fuel export ban and prospective diesel restriction are reactive supply conservation moves, not capacity remedies. The 40 percent offline figure carries low confidence, originating entirely from Ukrainian government claims with no independent corroboration. If temporary operational shutdowns are being conflated with structural destruction, Russian refinery capacity recovers faster than the rationing trend implies.

6 sources

Ukraine capable of striking all of Russias military logistics in occupied territories, 15 oil refineries hit, Zelensky says - Kyiv Independent
Zelensky: Ukraine Can Strike Russian Logistics Across All Occupied Territory - Kyiv Post
Zelenskiy Says Ukrainian Military Can Hit Russian Logistics Throughout Occupied Areas - US News & World Report
Fuel crisis reaches Moscow as shortages spread across Russia - Ukrainska Pravda
Zelensky Told About The Success Of The Long-range "sanctions" Of The AFU - Charter 97
Address by the President — January through May, Our Warriors Struck 15 Russian Oil Refineries - Official website of the President of Ukraine