Indonesia to end all diesel fuel imports from 1 July as B50 palm-biodiesel mandate takes effect

Analysis
The 1 July diesel-import halt is almost certainly unrealistic: three of five required full-scale biodiesel plants remain under construction, eastern-Indonesia logistics gaps persist, and the B40-to-B50 jump adds roughly 6–7 million tonnes of annual CPO demand against 2025 output of around 47 million tonnes. Corroborated across ANTARA, Tempo, and Advanced Biofuels USA (though supply-side risk figures are the latter's analysis, not primary reporting), the policy reads more durably as a palm-sector subsidy package than a hard import cutoff; a phased rollout with a fallback B45 blend is the probable landing point, likely announced within eight to twelve weeks. Drawing that volume of CPO into domestic biodiesel will tighten global vegetable-oil prices through late 2026 and accelerates Indonesia's divergence from EU Deforestation Regulation compliance, a track it was already struggling to maintain.