Middle East — 2026-05-28

US and Iran Reach 60-Day Ceasefire Extension Deal Pending Trump Final Approval

BLUFDespite the negotiated framework, Trump is unlikely to sign the 60-day MOU by June 14, as the Kuwait missile strike and unresolved uranium-disposal terms give both sides ready exits.

U.S. and Iranian negotiators have agreed on a 60-day memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire and launch nuclear talks, but Trump has not signed off and Tehran has not confirmed acceptance, two U.S. officials and a regional source told Axios 12. Reported MOU terms include Iran immediately reopening the Strait of Hormuz, removing mines within 30 days, and committing to dispose of its enriched uranium stockpile under a mechanism still to be negotiated 13. The U.S. would lift its naval blockade proportionally and commit to discussing sanctions relief and the release of frozen Iranian funds 1. Concurrent with the diplomacy, U.S. Central Command reported Thursday that Iran launched ballistic missiles toward Kuwait, calling the strike an "egregious ceasefire violation" 4.

Analysis
Trump is unlikely to sign the 60-day MOU by June 14. CENTCOM's condemnation of Iran's same-day ballistic missile strike on Kuwait as an "egregious ceasefire violation" sharply raises the political cost of any near-term signature. Tehran has not confirmed acceptance, and the disposal mechanism for Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile remains unresolved, giving either side a substantive exit. Reporting rests on four secondaries amplifying a single Axios primary, providing broad corroboration without independent sourcing; high confidence in the judgment rests on official U.S. statements corroborated across negotiating-track reporting. The strike may reflect IRGC pressure tactics rather than a decision to abort diplomacy, leaving Tehran's political leadership room to deliver once internal factions align. A NO outcome keeps Treasury's sanctions tightening and military strike readiness on current trajectory; YES triggers Gulf force posture adjustments and Hormuz transit decisions for shipping operators.

5 sources

Scoop: U.S. and Iran reach deal but need Trumps final approval, officials say - Axios
US-Iran MOU on 60-Day Ceasefire Extension Reached, but Trump Must Approve, Source Says - U.S. News & World Report
Here's what the draft memo for a proposed deal with Iran includes - CBS News
U.S., Iran await Trump sign-off on 60-day ceasefire plan - Washington Times
Iran War: US, Iran Agree to Extend Truce Pending Trump Backing, Source Says - Bloomberg