War on the Rocks Analysis: Iran War May Undermine Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime

A War on the Rocks analysis by Ankit Panda, Nima Gerami, Kyle Balzer, and Kelsey Davenport argues the military campaign against Iran paradoxically incentivizes nuclear weapons development. The authors contend the war 'will not succeed in the complete elimination of Iran's capacity to seek nuclear weapons' and that threshold states will view the conflict as evidence that conventional military superiority cannot guarantee security, potentially triggering a cascade of proliferation decisions.