European Security — 2026-07-03

AfD Leader Weidel Pledges to Restore German-Russian Energy Ties and Lift Sanctions as Party Eyes Chancellery

BLUFAfD will likely secure a plurality in at least one eastern German state election by September 2026, establishing its first governing foothold and sharpening pressure on the CDU's coalition firewall.

AfD co-chair Alice Weidel told Reuters Germany should lift sanctions on Russian oil and gas and restore economic ties, calling cheap Russian energy the basis of past industrial success and blaming its loss for hundreds of thousands of job losses and higher US-sourced energy costs 12. Weidel said the AfD can win September elections in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, calling them milestones toward the chancellery by 2029 or the following election 1. The comments follow an earlier June visit by AfD lawmaker Markus Frohnmaier to Russia, where he met Gazprom head Alexei Miller, called for reopening the Nord Stream pipeline, and was told gas supply could resume within three months; Frohnmaier said US investors were separately examining Nord Stream's reopening 1. Christian Democrat lawmaker Roderich Kiesewetter said the AfD's pro-Russia stance is distorting German public debate ahead of the eastern state elections 1. RT separately cited an INSA poll putting AfD support at 29 percent, seven points ahead of the CDU 2.

Analysis
AfD likely will win a plurality in Saxony-Anhalt or Mecklenburg-Vorpommern by the September 2026 elections, converting Weidel's Russian-energy platform into the polling lead the party has sustained over the CDU across both eastern states. Moderate confidence attaches to this judgment, resting on a single published survey rather than a corroborated multi-poll trend. Frohnmaier's direct contact with Gazprom's Miller signals the party is pre-positioning commercial channels for a gas resumption it cannot yet authorize from opposition. A state victory would hand the AfD its first governing foothold in the east and intensify pressure on the CDU's national firewall against coalition talks.
5 sources
  1. AfD leader vows to restore German-Russian ties as she eyes chancellery - Reuters
  2. AfD co-chair wants Germany to resume Russian energy imports - RT
  3. AfD leader vows to restore German-Russian ties as she eyes chancellery - EU Alive
  4. AfD Leader Vows to Restore German-Russian Ties as She Eyes Chancellery - U.S. News & World Report
  5. AfD leader vows to restore German-Russian ties as she eyes chancellery - Arab News

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