Republican Massie Forces House Impeachment Vote Against Defense Secretary Hegseth Over Iran War

Analysis
Confidence is high because five outlets and the primary filing agree that only Bacon and Hill are publicly undecided and Johnson opposes. The House is very unlikely to adopt at least one article of impeachment against Hegseth between November 10 and November 17, 2026. The 218-214 margin leaves Massie short without several Republican defections, and leaders can table or refer a privileged resolution within its two-day window, as Johnson avoided a vote in September by recessing early. Massie's reintroduction after Democrats won both chambers restarts the clock. Trump's public backing raises the cost of defecting, though anger over the midterm losses and the Iran war could still produce enough votes to pass a war powers count framed as an institutional prerogative. Hegseth's Tuesday press conference is the key indicator, since a resignation would moot the vote. If the House adopts an article, Senate leaders and the White House must plan a trial and a replacement nominee before the new Congress convenes. A tabling vote would still show how many Republicans break with the White House.