Defense & Geopolitics — 2026-03-21
US Intelligence Reassesses: China Does Not Plan Taiwan Invasion by 2027; Military Flights Resume After Two-Week Pause
US intelligence agencies assessed Chinese leaders have no fixed timeline for Taiwan unification and do not currently plan an invasion by 2027. Military purges and economic slowdown have effectively set aside the invasion option for at least two years. However, Chinese military flights near Taiwan resumed after a mysterious two-week pause, with 26 aircraft detected in the strait over 24 hours. Taiwan's coast guard is ramping up cooperation with US, Japanese, and Philippine counterparts.