Trump threatens resumed bombing if Iran deal not sealed by Wednesday; talks continue through weekend

Analysis
The Wednesday deadline is very likely a negotiating device, Trump's on-camera remarks, not anonymous sourcing, with the fifth round extending through the weekend and a personal Islamabad trip floated, signaling the White House wants a signed text inside the week, not a second strike package. A deal by 23 April is likely; genuine bombing resumption before that date is very unlikely given Gulf basing exposure and the unresolved Hormuz blockade posture. Iran's stockpile rejection is the load-bearing obstacle: Tehran has consistently framed the material as national patrimony, and any exchange will very likely require a custody-in-place mechanism rather than removal over the next 30 days. The shift from an open-ended uranium-for-cash frame to a named Wednesday threshold now compresses both sides into resolving the gap this week. Watch Pezeshkian and Khamenei messaging over the next 72 hours for any separation between enrichment ceiling and stockpile disposition, the mathematically compatible outcome both sides can sell domestically.