Operations & Intelligence Failures — 2026-03-20

Pentagon's 83% Iran Drone Degradation Claim Fails Doctrinal BDA Standards

Grieco argues the 83% figure is a battle damage indicator -- not a formal BDA at any doctrinal level. Parallels Gulf War Republican Guard destruction claims the GAO later debunked. Shahed-series production, storage, and launch are designed to obscure assessment. Iran's 37th attack wave on March 11 occurred despite purported degradation, suggesting the indicator overstates actual capability reduction.

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